Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 238.339184 268.804331 302.739970 343.540540 391.522177 446.473702 514.624181
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 192.276785 231.897564 280.003863 343.488474 426.237343 532.108443 680.586825
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 162.455459 204.381917 258.171905 333.659719 439.215672 585.296484 809.687285
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 141.978500 184.468214 241.348346 325.141175 449.158329 632.363638 936.696670
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 131.961467 176.600825 238.760699 334.626824 484.510123 720.702099 1145.718567
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 121.778935 166.998639 232.064964 336.382125 507.379221 792.662659 1344.777246
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 111.416781 155.876565 221.605322 330.465474 516.248590 841.963110 1514.682102
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 104.243665 148.663880 216.071408 331.312622 536.006624 913.327019 1747.018722
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 96.360992 139.593916 206.624192 324.288201 540.456435 956.463773 1931.892446
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 90.540935 133.195359 200.744282 322.481306 553.877967 1019.310561 2180.913291
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 83.008351 123.472993 188.542692 308.084923 541.088249 1025.511395 2293.608190
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 80.847820 122.235732 190.315369 319.027215 579.612586 1149.613962 2758.066034
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 79.281114 121.944967 193.830270 333.985845 629.721614 1314.186018 3419.258368
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 75.414814 117.497159 189.694072 333.785476 647.660401 1407.003142 3910.644530
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 70.568949 111.018134 181.369036 324.305869 643.414946 1442.689283 4229.412678
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 66.346264 105.342049 174.056717 316.086234 640.822134 1482.412641 4585.971400
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 64.792916 104.248454 175.096216 325.238891 680.784737 1650.433604 5548.087123
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 62.406902 101.493626 172.764045 326.932306 702.813865 1773.107172 6411.237554
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 59.325640 97.280890 167.310556 321.223925 705.153047 1836.479786 7049.135552
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 57.226772 94.740307 164.912880 322.041310 724.719065 1961.079209 8104.292261
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 54.448533 90.775459 159.419632 315.263082 722.793403 2013.639296 8815.199150
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 52.395202 88.058225 156.237390 313.519298 734.617401 2118.457456 9947.189639
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 49.242472 83.097270 148.202896 299.622492 709.953571 2084.382124 10157.830227